#61EDGE RANK
Josh Downs
IND · WR · 110.0 · R10.02Verified role or team-context upgrade · Opportunity profile 58/100 · FFin60 upgrade: Operating as Indianapolis' top receiver
+49PICK GAP
OPP 58PROJ 54CONF HIGH
MODEL RANK VS. MARKET COST
Edge targets.
Off the edge.
This is an evidence board—not a certainty claim. Edge Targets are players worth targeting at their current draft cost. Off the Edge identifies players whose draft cost, role, or risk makes them dangerous selections at their current price.
Verified data snapshot · captured Aug 18, 6:37 PM UTC Injury source
Daily source coverage
ESPN · Sleeper · Yahoo · FantasyPros · FFin60 · RotoWire · Bleacher Report · r/fantasyfootball · DataForce · Footballguys Forums · Independent specialist medical review · Credentialed X accounts · Official team reports · FantasyHolics Facebook
Live APIs refresh throughout the day. Qualitative reports are dated and player-matched. Specialist medical analysis is separated into availability, reinjury, performance, workload, and long-term risk; official/team evidence remains the displayed verification layer. FantasyHolics is discovery-only and still requires independent verification plus user approval before publication.HOW TO READ IT
Edge Targets require a meaningful price gap plus at least two supporting football signals. Off the Edge requires both an overpriced draft cost and researched downside; an ordinary injury tag cannot qualify by itself. Sleeper supplies the universal market price, ESPN and Yahoo provide consensus guardrails, and Weekly Edge adds verified role, efficiency, coaching, line, and recovery context.
VERIFIED VALUE ABOVE COST
15Edge Targets
#117EDGE RANK
Kyler Murray
MIN · QB · 153.8 · R13.10Verified role or team-context upgrade · Opportunity profile 62/100 · Reuters + Vikings reporting upgrade: Minnesota names Murray its Week 1 starter
+37PICK GAP
OPP 62PROJ 45CONF HIGH
#26EDGE RANK
Zay Flowers
BAL · WR · 42.6 · R4.07Verified role or team-context upgrade · Opportunity profile 72/100 · Projection value 67/100
+17PICK GAP
OPP 72PROJ 67CONF HIGH
#30EDGE RANK
Jaylen Waddle
DEN · WR · 47.1 · R4.11Verified role or team-context upgrade · Opportunity profile 65/100 · Projection value 66/100
+17PICK GAP
OPP 65PROJ 66CONF HIGH
#29EDGE RANK
Travis Etienne
NO · RB · 41.6 · R4.06Opportunity profile 63/100 · Projection value 68/100 · FFin60 monitor: Early-down lead; goal-line role remains decisive
+13PICK GAP
OPP 63PROJ 68CONF HIGH
#19EDGE RANK
Chris Olave
NO · WR · 31.4 · R3.07Verified role or team-context upgrade · Opportunity profile 67/100 · Projection value 70/100
+12PICK GAP
OPP 67PROJ 70CONF HIGH
#4EDGE RANK
De'Von Achane
MIA · RB · 14.4 · R2.02Verified role or team-context upgrade · Opportunity profile 69/100 · Projection value 82/100
+10PICK GAP
OPP 69PROJ 82CONF HIGH
#25EDGE RANK
DeVonta Smith
PHI · WR · 34.2 · R3.10Verified role or team-context upgrade · Opportunity profile 70/100 · Projection value 67/100
+9PICK GAP
OPP 70PROJ 67CONF HIGH
#83EDGE RANK
Quentin Johnston
LAC · WR · 102.2 · R9.06Opportunity profile 60/100 · Favorable coaching fit · 2/5 OL starters return
+19PICK GAP
OPP 60PROJ 50CONF MEDIUM
#36EDGE RANK
D'Andre Swift
CHI · RB · 53.0 · R5.05Opportunity profile 65/100 · Projection value 68/100 · 4/5 OL starters return
+17PICK GAP
OPP 65PROJ 68CONF MEDIUM
#47EDGE RANK
Rome Odunze
CHI · WR · 62.4 · R6.02Opportunity profile 61/100 · Projection value 62/100 · 4/5 OL starters return
+15PICK GAP
OPP 61PROJ 62CONF MEDIUM
#45EDGE RANK
Jameson Williams
DET · WR · 57.0 · R5.09Opportunity profile 61/100 · Projection value 62/100 · 3/5 OL starters return
+12PICK GAP
OPP 61PROJ 62CONF MEDIUM
#27EDGE RANK
Javonte Williams
DAL · RB · 33.9 · R3.10Opportunity profile 71/100 · Projection value 68/100 · 5/5 OL starters return
+7PICK GAP
OPP 71PROJ 68CONF MEDIUM
#3EDGE RANK
Jonathan Taylor
IND · RB · 6.9 · R1.07Opportunity profile 74/100 · Projection value 88/100 · 4/5 OL starters return
+4PICK GAP
OPP 74PROJ 88CONF MEDIUM
#24EDGE RANK
Kyren Williams
LAR · RB · 27.8 · R3.04Opportunity profile 71/100 · Projection value 69/100 · 4/5 OL starters return
+4PICK GAP
OPP 71PROJ 69CONF MEDIUM
VERIFIED COST ABOVE VALUE
10Off the Edge
#233EDGE RANK
Alvin Kamara
NO · RB · 149.9 · R13.06Verified role, availability, or team-context downgrade · Opportunity profile 37/100 · Projection value 26/100
-83PICK GAP
OPP 37PROJ 26CONF HIGH
#121EDGE RANK
George Kittle
SF · TE · 90.6 · R8.07Research-backed missed-time or workload reduction · Elevated reinjury or role-loss risk · 4/5 OL starters return
-30PICK GAP
OPP 55PROJ 47CONF HIGH
#56EDGE RANK
Malik Nabers
NYG · WR · 31.3 · R3.07Research-backed missed-time or workload reduction · Elevated reinjury or role-loss risk · 4/5 OL starters return
-25PICK GAP
OPP 48PROJ 58CONF HIGH
#75EDGE RANK
Terry McLaurin
WAS · WR · 52.8 · R5.05Verified role, availability, or team-context downgrade · Opportunity profile 44/100 · FFin60 downgrade: Target competition increases with Diggs
-22PICK GAP
OPP 44PROJ 61CONF HIGH
#162EDGE RANK
Jordyn Tyson
NO · WR · 79.9 · R7.08Opportunity profile 37/100 · Projection value 27/100 · Research-backed missed-time or workload reduction
-82PICK GAP
OPP 37PROJ 27CONF MEDIUM
#120EDGE RANK
Makai Lemon
PHI · WR · 84.8 · R8.01Verified role, availability, or team-context downgrade · Opportunity profile 45/100 · Eagles + Yahoo injury reporting downgrade: Second hamstring interruption raises role risk
-35PICK GAP
OPP 45PROJ 49CONF MEDIUM
#156EDGE RANK
Tyler Allgeier
ARI · RB · 127.6 · R11.08Opportunity profile 39/100 · Projection value 31/100 · 2/5 OL starters return
-28PICK GAP
OPP 39PROJ 31CONF MEDIUM
#50EDGE RANK
Jeremiyah Love
ARI · RB · 25.8 · R3.02Research-backed missed-time or workload reduction · Elevated reinjury or role-loss risk · 2/5 OL starters return
-24PICK GAP
OPP 50PROJ 59CONF MEDIUM
#165EDGE RANK
Jonah Coleman
DEN · RB · 143.2 · R12.11Opportunity profile 41/100 · Projection value 29/100 · 5/5 OL starters return
-22PICK GAP
OPP 41PROJ 29CONF MEDIUM
#211EDGE RANK
Fernando Mendoza
LV · QB · 191.0 · R16.11Opportunity profile 46/100 · Projection value 25/100 · 3/5 OL starters return
-20PICK GAP
OPP 46PROJ 25CONF MEDIUM